ALFA.ST PEAD reversal: T+3 ↑LONG faded — T+5 closes +0.2%
T+3 said ↑LONG at +3.62% CAR; T+5 reverses to +0.2%. The market re-priced the print.
─ Timeline ─ Print 2026-07-21 Alfa Laval T-1 close 556.80 (baseline) T+3 close 574.60 CAR +3.62% → ↑LONG T+5 close 2026-07-28 557.00 CAR +0.2%
─ Verdict ─ T+5 CAR (+0.2%) lands on the opposite side of the entry band from T+3 (+3.62%). The post-earnings drift faded inside two extra sessions — typical signature of a print that hit consensus algorithms hard then gave back as positioning normalised. Our read: the reversal outweighs the T+3 direction — we no longer treat that initial reading as the live signal.
─ Conviction ─ Original conviction 51/100 invalidated. T+5 closes against the signal — the print did not produce a sustained move.
─ Original T+3 signal ─ See earnings card: /tape/c-earnings-alfa-st-2026-07-21/
─ Closelook frame ─ Indices: Euro-AI
→ closelook.net/indices/stock/?t=ALFA.ST