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Waste Connections Inc (WCN) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

Waste Connections collects, transfers and disposes of non-hazardous waste across the United States and Canada, serving residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers. It also recovers landfill gas, recycles materials such as cardboard, plastics and metals, and handles waste from oil and gas drilling sites.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Agents can buy the score depth per call over HTTP 402 — see the catalogue. Research diary readings, not advice.

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for WCN, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index HALO Growth 100 · AI Users — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

HALO Growth 100 · as of 2026-11-10

DayWeekMonth3 months
WCN+0.6%+2.4%+24.4%+15.6%
Circular Economy & Resource Security−1.7%−0.1%−3.7%—
HALO Growth 100−1.0%−0.1%+1.9%—

Against the index: 2.5 pts ahead on the week, 22.5 pts ahead on the month; against its Circular Economy & Resource Security sleeve 28.1 pts ahead on the month.

AI Users · as of 2026-11-10

DayWeekMonth3 months
WCN+0.6%+2.4%+24.4%+15.6%
Physical Operations & Asset Productivity+0.9%+4.3%+10.5%—
AI Users−0.1%+1.1%+5.5%—

Against the index: 1.3 pts ahead on the week, 18.9 pts ahead on the month; against its Physical Operations & Asset Productivity sleeve 13.9 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 48/100 · S&P 500 fund at 51, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-10
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 67th percentile of the window, -18.1% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-10
  • Sector × region Industrials in US: −1.5% week · −0.2% month · −9.0% quarter · −1.7% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLI.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-11-10
  • Sovereign pressure Index -1.67 · down 1.71 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-09
How it trades on rate days beta 0.47 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How WCN has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.47 — tends to move with bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Waste Connections Inc moved 0.47% on average · correlation 0.17 · higher than 36% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 1.20 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.01% on average against −0.72% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.59% TLT −1.32% that day 2026-11-10

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against HALO Growth 100 · Circular Economy & Resource Security · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

HALO Growth 100 · Circular Economy & Resource Security

Waste collection, recycling tech, critical-mineral upstream. Resource scarcity + ESG mandates re-pricing the take-back loop.

Compared against WCN on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Waste Connections Inc

WCN in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Waste Connections collects, transfers and disposes of non-hazardous waste across the United States and Canada, serving residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers. It also recovers landfill gas, recycles materials such as cardboard, plastics and metals, and handles waste from oil and gas drilling sites. The company runs its own transfer stations and landfills and moves waste by truck, rail and barge. It is based in Woodbridge, Canada, and listed in the United States.
Where it sits in the stack
Waste Connections sits in the AI Users index, our index of companies deploying AI at scale to strengthen existing businesses, under the Physical Operations & Asset Productivity section covering AI used for quality, maintenance, utilisation and resources. The company disclosed AI-guided sorting robots in recycling facilities, in use from around November 2020 and numbering fifty systems by June 2022, acting on their own to sort material. By October 2025 it also documented a pricing tool that models price acceptance and churn per customer, assisting staff rather than deciding alone, reporting 30-40% less churn and 50-100 basis points of extra volume on comparable price increases, running across about one-seventh of its profit-and-loss units.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet groups it within HALO Growth 100's Circular Economy & Resource Security sleeve, where waste collection, recycling technology and critical-mineral upstream names sit together against resource scarcity and take-back-loop pricing, alongside Clean Harbors, Xylem, Freeport-McMoRan, Tomra Systems, Veolia Environnement, Albemarle, Ivanhoe Mines and MP Materials; the market also compares it with Waste Management Inc.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It is a HALO Growth 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. It also holds a seat in AI Users under Physical Operations & Asset Productivity. No diary quotes are recorded for it so far.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether the pricing tool scales from about one-seventh to half or more of its profit-and-loss units during 2026, whether real-time dynamic routing is added that year, and whether the stated total-digitisation programme reaches completion by the end of 2027.

Waste Connections Inc (WCN) trades on US exchanges, classified under Industrials. Constituent of HALO Growth 100.

The Closelooknet company score reads 48/100 composite (momentum 80, quality 52, valuation 26) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-10-25. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 8 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by UBS, 2026-10-27 · last print 2026-10-21

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for WCN from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target UBS — target 215 from 200 Target raised to $215 from $200 (+15.1% to spot) 2026-10-27
  • Price target CIBC — target 207 from 184 Target raised to $207 from $184 (+11.2% to spot) 2026-10-23
  • Price target Scotiabank — target 201 from 193 Target raised to $201 from $193 (+8.1% to spot) 2026-10-23
  • Latest print EPS 1.58 against 1.52 expected — a +3.9% beat 2026-10-21

8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 8 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 0.75%, quarterly · buybacks 506 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What WCN pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 1.44 USD per share · a 0.75% yield on the 2026-11-10 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-11-10
  • Change on the year +10.8% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 1.29 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.39 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-11-05
  • By calendar year 2024: 1.17 USD (partial) · 2025: 1.29 USD · 2026: 1.44 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2024-02-27
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 334 m USD 26% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 506 m USD 1.1% of today's market value
  • Share count −0.8% in FY2025 79 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 839 m USD · 69% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-11

Quick answers

What is Waste Connections Inc (WCN)?

Waste Connections Inc trades as WCN on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Industrials in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-11.

Is WCN in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Waste Connections Inc is a constituent of HALO Growth 100, as of 2026-11-11.

What is Waste Connections Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

48 out of 100, with momentum 80, quality 52 and valuation 26 sub-scores, as of 2026-11-11. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does WCN trade against its moving averages?

Waste Connections Inc trades 14.5% above its 50-day and 15.8% above its 200-day moving average (6.5% above its 20-day). As of 2026-11-09 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is WCN doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Waste Connections Inc is +24.4% against +1.9% for the HALO Growth 100 — 22.5 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-11-10. Its Circular Economy & Resource Security sleeve is −3.7% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Waste Connections Inc compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (HALO Growth 100 · Circular Economy & Resource Security), Waste Connections Inc (WCN) sits 2.7% below its 52-week high, 14.5% above its 50-day average; Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc (FCX) is 22.3% below, Tomra Systems ASA (TOM.OL) is 31.3% below, Xylem Inc (XYL) is 35.3% below, as of 2026-11-09. Put any of them next to WCN in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Waste Connections Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Waste Connections Inc had a beta of 0.47 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it tends to move with bonds, higher than 36% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.01% on average, against −0.72% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-10; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Waste Connections Inc do?

Waste Connections collects, transfers and disposes of non-hazardous waste across the United States and Canada, serving residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers. It also recovers landfill gas, recycles materials such as cardboard, plastics and metals, and handles waste from oil and gas drilling sites. The company runs its own transfer stations and landfills and moves waste by truck, rail and barge. Closelooknet groups it within HALO Growth 100's Circular Economy & Resource Security sleeve, where waste collection, recycling technology and critical-mineral upstream names sit together against resource scarcity and take-back-loop pricing, alongside Clean Harbors, Xylem, Freeport-McMoRan, Tomra Systems, Veolia Environnement, Albemarle, Ivanhoe Mines and MP Materials; the market also compares it with Waste Management Inc. (Company snapshot of 2026-10-25.)

Where does Waste Connections Inc sit in the AI build-out?

Waste Connections sits in the AI Users index, our index of companies deploying AI at scale to strengthen existing businesses, under the Physical Operations & Asset Productivity section covering AI used for quality, maintenance, utilisation and resources. The company disclosed AI-guided sorting robots in recycling facilities, in use from around November 2020 and numbering fifty systems by June 2022, acting on their own to sort material. By October 2025 it also documented a pricing tool that models price acceptance and churn per customer, assisting staff rather than deciding alone, reporting 30-40% less churn and 50-100 basis points of extra volume on comparable price increases, running across about one-seventh of its profit-and-loss units. It is a HALO Growth 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. It also holds a seat in AI Users under Physical Operations & Asset Productivity. No diary quotes are recorded for it so far. (Company snapshot of 2026-10-25.)

Does Waste Connections Inc pay a dividend?

Waste Connections Inc has paid 1.44 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 0.75% on the 2026-11-10 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.39 USD on 2026-11-05. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 334 m USD in dividends and bought back 506 m USD of its own shares, 69% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 0.8% over the fiscal year. As of 2026-11-10; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Waste Connections Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on Waste Connections Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by UBS on 2026-10-27 (target 215 from 200). 8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 8 target changes. Its latest earnings print on the wire, 2026-10-21: EPS 1.58 against 1.52 expected — a +3.9% beat. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for WCN, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Waste Management. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.