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Pattern Engine · PEAD

PEAD live signals.

Long Setups and Short Setups from the Closelooknet PEAD pipeline. Each entry passed all three architectural layers — regime, trend, pattern — before becoming a live alert. The 63-day holding window starts at T+3 (the third trading day after the print).

Latest signal Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC  ·  How is this calculated?  ·  Why does PEAD work?

T+5 status
  1. → PEAD NONE — ↗ T+5
    CAR — vs SPY Hold through — Indices NASDAQ Nov 10, 11:00 PM

    T+3 said ↑LONG at +6.28% CAR; T+5 extends to +13.01%. Drift survived the classical post-earnings window.
  2. → PEAD NONE — ↗ T+5
    CAR — vs SPY Hold through — Indices HALO Nov 10, 11:00 PM

    T+3 said ↓SHORT at -5.76% CAR; T+5 extends to -9.82%. Drift survived the classical post-earnings window.
  3. ↑ ACLS PEAD LONG 80 T+3
    CAR +18.10% vs SPY Hold through Feb 2, 2027 Indices RUBIN Nov 10, 09:32 PM

    Axcelis Technologies reported Q3 2026 EPS of $1.09 on 2026-11-05, beating the $0.90 consensus by $0.19 (+21.1%).
  4. ↑ ABNB PEAD LONG 82 T+3
    CAR +8.17% vs SPY Hold through Feb 2, 2027 Indices NASDAQ Nov 10, 09:31 PM

    Airbnb reported Q3 2026 EPS of $3.16 on 2026-11-05 (after market close), beating the $2.86 consensus by $0.30 (+10.5%).
  5. ↑ AAON PEAD LONG 80 T+3
    CAR +30.98% vs SPY Hold through Feb 2, 2027 Indices RUBIN Nov 10, 09:31 PM

    AAON reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.83 on 2026-11-05 (BMO), beating the $0.56 consensus by $0.27 (+48.2%).
  6. ↓ AAOI PEAD SHORT 100 T+3
    CAR -16.27% vs SPY Hold through Feb 2, 2027 Indices RUBIN Nov 10, 09:31 PM

    Applied Optoelectronics reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.10 on 2026-11-05, beating the $0.08 consensus by $0.02 (+25.0%).
  7. ↓ FRPT PEAD SHORT 30 T+3
    CAR -3.01% vs SPY Hold through Feb 1, 2027 Indices HALO Nov 10, 09:02 PM

    Freshpet reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.58 on 2026-11-04 (after market close), beating the $0.35 consensus by $0.23 (+65.7%).
  8. ↑ ELF PEAD LONG 88 T+3
    CAR +7.26% vs SPY Hold through Feb 1, 2027 Indices HALO Nov 10, 09:02 PM

    e.l.f. Beauty reported Q2 FY2027 EPS of $0.80 on 2026-11-04, beating the $0.37 consensus by $0.43 (+116.2%).
  9. ↓ DDOG PEAD SHORT 80 T+3
    CAR -18.33% vs SPY Hold through Feb 1, 2027 Indices NASDAQ Nov 10, 09:01 PM

    Datadog reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.33 on 2026-11-04 (BMO), beating the $0.18 consensus by $0.15 (+83.3%).
  10. ↑ COHR PEAD LONG 68 T+3
    CAR +8.75% vs SPY Hold through Feb 1, 2027 Indices RUBIN Nov 10, 09:01 PM

    Coherent reported Q1 FY2027 EPS of $1.80 on 2026-11-04 (after market close), matching the $1.80 consensus exactly — a 0% beat/miss.

Hold-horizon legend

T-1
Close before the announcement.
T+0
Announcement day close (or next trading day for AMC reporters).
T+3
Third trading day after the announcement — when the CAR is measured and the signal becomes ready to fire.
T+63
~3 calendar months after T+0. Hard exit per Stage A spec; later stages add adaptive exits.

Candidates, not recommendations

These are systematic candidate signals from a documented academic anomaly. They are not buy or sell recommendations. The Pattern Engine generates the candidates; the decision to act, position sizing, risk management, and portfolio context are entirely the reader's responsibility. Past PEAD spreads have weakened materially since the 1980s and may continue to evolve. Short-side signals carry asymmetric risk including borrow costs and squeeze potential. See the full Lab Read for the complete failure-mode treatment.

FAQ · from the current data

PEAD — live — Q&A

What does the PEAD engine show?

Post-earnings-announcement drift setups from the nightly scan: long and short candidates with the 3-day cumulative abnormal return vs benchmark, the 63-day hold window and ±3% direction thresholds of the Pattern Lab methodology. Methodology: /lab/patterns/pead/.

How often does it run?

Nightly after the US close on trading days, during and after earnings season. Part of the Pattern Engine, the live counterpart of Pattern Lab — five engines on the Signal desk.

Is a signal here a recommendation?

No. Every engine output is a pattern hit in an investment research diary — a watch-list label with its trigger state, never advice. Base rates and the methodology live on the Pattern Lab page.