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Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for UGP, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sector × region Energy in US: −3.0% week · −0.0% month · +15.9% quarter · +13.8% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLE.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-09-26
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta 0.24 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How UGP has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.24 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR moved 0.24% on average · correlation 0.07 · higher than 24% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.26 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −1.02% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −2.22% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against UGP on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR

UGP in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Ultrapar operates energy, mobility and logistics businesses in Brazil, running four units: Ipiranga fuel stations, Ultragaz for bottled and piped LPG, Ultracargo for bulk storage terminals, and Hidrovias for waterway logistics. It distributes fuels, lubricants and natural gas to households, retailers and industry, and also runs convenience stores and loyalty programmes. The group is headquartered in São Paulo and listed in the United States through depositary receipts.
Where it sits in the stack
Ultrapar carries no seat in our index and sits outside the Rubin build-out; it belongs to the energy and logistics sleeve of the wider universe the diary tracks, alongside fuel distributors and midstream operators rather than chip or data-centre suppliers.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group has no defined entry for Ultrapar; the diary notes Raízen, another Brazilian fuel and ethanol distributor, as the comparison the market most often draws.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Ultrapar carries a Closelooknet score, and momentum is the module the score currently highlights; it holds no index seat and the diary has not yet quoted it in an edition.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether Ipiranga's fuel volumes and Ultracargo's terminal throughput hold up as Brazilian demand and biofuel blending rules shift.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) trades on US exchanges, classified under Energy.

The Closelooknet company score reads 56/100 composite (momentum 86, quality 34, valuation 89) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by UBS, 2026-09-04

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for UGP from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target UBS — target 7.9 from 7.2 Target raised to $7.9 from $7.2 (+9% to spot) 2026-09-04
  • Price target Goldman Sachs — target 5.8 from 6.5 Target cut to $5.8 from $6.5 (-13.4% to spot) 2026-08-26

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 5.05%, semi-annual · buybacks 262 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What UGP pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.36 USD per share · a 5.05% yield on the 2026-09-25 close 2 distributions, paid twice a year 2026-09-25
  • Change on the year +168.1% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.13 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.19 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-26
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.30 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.19 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-03-10
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 2.13 bn USD 56% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 262 m USD 3.2% of today's market value
  • Share count −2.0% in FY2025
  • Capital returned 2.39 bn USD · 158% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)?

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR trades as UGP on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Energy in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is UGP in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

What is Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR's Closelooknet composite score?

56 out of 100, with momentum 86, quality 34 and valuation 89 sub-scores, as of 2026-09-26. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does UGP trade against its moving averages?

Uptrend stack intact: Trades +6.9% vs the 50-day and +32.8% vs the 200-day average, 8.7% below the 52-week high and +107.8% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR had a beta of 0.24 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 24% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −1.02% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR do?

Ultrapar operates energy, mobility and logistics businesses in Brazil, running four units: Ipiranga fuel stations, Ultragaz for bottled and piped LPG, Ultracargo for bulk storage terminals, and Hidrovias for waterway logistics. It distributes fuels, lubricants and natural gas to households, retailers and industry, and also runs convenience stores and loyalty programmes. The group is headquartered in São Paulo and listed in the United States through depositary receipts. Closelooknet's peer group has no defined entry for Ultrapar; the diary notes Raízen, another Brazilian fuel and ethanol distributor, as the comparison the market most often draws.

Where does Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR sit in the AI build-out?

Ultrapar carries no seat in our index and sits outside the Rubin build-out; it belongs to the energy and logistics sleeve of the wider universe the diary tracks, alongside fuel distributors and midstream operators rather than chip or data-centre suppliers. Ultrapar carries a Closelooknet score, and momentum is the module the score currently highlights; it holds no index seat and the diary has not yet quoted it in an edition.

Does Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR pay a dividend?

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR has paid 0.36 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid twice a year, a trailing yield of 5.05% on the 2026-09-25 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.19 USD on 2026-08-26. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 2.13 bn USD in dividends and bought back 262 m USD of its own shares, 158% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 2.0% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR recently?

The most recent analyst action on Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by UBS on 2026-09-04 (target 7.9 from 7.2). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for UGP, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing, then Energy. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.