Applied Opt (AAOI) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-11-03 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -29.7% to +77.6% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries Reported 5 November after the close: EPS $0.17 vs $0.14, revenue $269.9M vs ~$268.1M — a beat on both lines; fourth-quarter revenue guided to $385–420M vs $427.3M expected. Window from Thursday’s close of 46.89: paid ≥ 48.30, sold < 45.48, scored Tuesday 10 November. into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | 2026-08-06 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 26 | 2026-05-07 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-26 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Nov 25 | 2025-11-06 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Aug 25 | 2025-08-07 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| May 25 | 2025-05-08 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-26 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
| Nov 24 | 2024-11-07 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Aug 24 | 2024-08-06 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| May 24 | 2024-05-09 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full AAOI print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-03
Quick answers
How often does Applied Opt beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 10 covered prints (as of the 2026-11-03 card), Applied Opt beat EPS estimates 5 of 10 times and revenue estimates 4 of 10 times, with 3 double beats.
How does AAOI stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 7 of the last 10 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 1 flat, 2 down (as of the 2026-11-03 card) — reactions spanning -29.7% to +77.6%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was AAOI's biggest earnings reaction?
+77.6% over the three sessions after the Feb 26 print (2026-02-26).
When does Applied Opt report earnings next?
2026-11-05 (Reported 5 November after the close: EPS $0.17 vs $0.14, revenue $269.9M vs ~$268.1M — a beat on both lines; fourth-quarter revenue guided to $385–420M vs $427.3M expected. Window from Thursday’s close of 46.89: paid ≥ 48.30, sold < 45.48, scored Tuesday 10 November.). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where AAOI appears in the diary — 12 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- Optical Interconnects — The Toll Nobody Keeps
The floors on the tape (12 Aug closes): LITE 932.47, 14% off high · COHR 355.64, 19% off · MRVL 217.08, 34% off · AAOI 138.08, 41% off · FN 571.88, 24% off, prints Monday · AVGO $2.0T market cap…
Dailies
- AI Builders — Chips Bounce 4%, AMD Jumps 10% and IREN 20% After a Strong Jobs Report
- AI Build-Out — Chip Stocks Sink 8%, Nasdaq Drops 4% and the Fear Gauge Jumps 43%
- AI Trade — Kospi Falls 5.3%, SK Hynix 9.5% and Advantest 14.7% After Qualcomm; Hong Kong Rises 3.5%
Today — Bank of England 12:00 UTC, jobless claims 13:30 UTC; Cloudflare, JFrog, AAOI and IREN report
- Oil knocks on $100 and Wall Street sells everything but the AI pipe: Intel +9%, Lumentum +11%, Dow −1.2% — Seoul buys the dip and the Kospi is back above 7,000
- Semis break the 505 line at midday while bitcoin presses 80,000
AAOI drops 12.45 percent to 109.28 by midday, the sharpest single-name decline on today's tape.
- The macro week breaks at the last print — retail and Michigan miss, bonds slip the floor, and Lumentum runs from the middle
AAOI +14.6% to 149.09 and RDDT +14.1% to 180.40, both reclaiming their 50-day averages intraday — two clean average-reclaims in one session on the risk side of the book, the same session the macro prints missed.
- Everyone is watching the software wreck. The line that matters is breaking in bonds.
And the group being bought is, name for name, Rubin's S14 High-Speed Interconnects layer — Astera, Lumentum, Coherent, Fabrinet, Marvell, AAOI are all constituents; AAOI, yesterday's worst-record most-bought foil, trades +1.6% post-print…
- Software Earnings — Beat, Raise, Down 18%: The Punishment Phase Is Back
AAOI: five-for-ten and three-for-ten, the worst record on the board, the most bought into the print.
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