CME Group Inc (CME) — the earnings record
Computed on 2026-09-18 from the vendor's per-print history with the Print Record's method — no desk-written read yet. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -1.4% to +4.3% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est EPS $2.96 · est revenue ~$1.69B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 2026-07-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-04 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-23 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-23 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-12 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-23 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Jul 24 | 2024-07-24 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Apr 24 | 2024-04-24 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
Report-day close to the close three sessions later on adjusted closes, ±3% bands — the same method as every hand-written card; the Print Record method explains the bands. No reaction chart, metric line or behavior read exists for CME yet.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-18
Quick answers
How often does CME Group Inc beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 10 covered prints (as of the 2026-09-18 card), CME Group Inc beat EPS estimates 9 of 10 times and revenue estimates 7 of 10 times, with 7 double beats.
How does CME stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 1 of the last 10 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 9 flat, 0 down (as of the 2026-09-18 card) — reactions spanning -1.4% to +4.3%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was CME's biggest earnings reaction?
+4.3% over the three sessions after the Feb 26 print (2026-02-04).
When does CME Group Inc report earnings next?
2026-10-21 (2026-10-21 · est EPS $2.96 · est revenue ~$1.69B). This record is computed from the vendor's per-print history with the Print Record's method; a desk-written card for CME does not exist yet. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where CME appears in the diary — 11 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- Treasuries — Stock Market at a Crossroads
Sources April 2026 CPI release (BLS, 12 May); April 2026 PPI release (BLS, 13 May); CME FedWatch; Closelook Sector RS Dashboard .
- Bitcoin Weekly Signal
D7 · 10% 30 Sentiment Fear & Greed Index 22 — Extreme Fear Funding Rates Slightly negative CME COT Specs net short Deep fear.
Dailies
- AI Trade — Korea Jumps 4.4%, SoftBank Soars 14% After Wall Street's Best Day Since April
In late October futures put the chance of another quarter-point rise in December at about 80% to 86% (CME FedWatch reads of 29 October).
- AI Trade — Kospi Halted, Nikkei Enters a Bear Market After US Chip Stocks Lose 12%
CME FedWatch puts the chance of a quarter-point hike at the 8–9 December meeting at about 70% (CNBC).
- AI Fade — Health and IT Services Lead
The exchanges and data firms lead — CME up 14.1% in a month, Verisk 19.8%, Deutsche Börse 7.9% and another 1.8% this morning.
- Overnight — Markets steady after Friday's chip rout: Nasdaq futures +0.8%, Kospi +2.2%, Bitcoin near 78,000
CME FedWatch readings last Thursday put a 25-basis-point Fed hike in December at about 80% to 86%; today's ISM prices index is the next input.
- AI Trade — Japan, Korea, Taiwan fall, India rises; Bitcoin under 80,000, gold under 4,000, TLT above 81.50
CME FedWatch readings on Thursday put a 25-basis-point hike at the Fed's 8–9 December meeting at between about 80% and 86%; no cut is priced.
- Big Tech — Microsoft up 2.9%, Alphabet down 10%, ServiceNow down 18% after hours; Marvell eyes Lumentum
CME FedWatch now puts a 25 basis point hike at the 8 to 9 December meeting at about 86%, up from 78.3% the day before.
- AI Search — The Owners of the Facts Are Down 20–40%, the Answer Boxes Sit Near Their Highs
The exchanges — ICE, CME, Nasdaq, LSEG — sit 7% to 17% under their highs.
- Producer prices rise 0.4%, 5.4% on the year, with oil at $105 — what today’s PPI and Friday’s CPI actually measure, and why the Fed reads them in this order
The Federal Reserve meets next Tuesday and Wednesday, 15–16 September, with CME FedWatch pricing a quarter-point increase at roughly 60% before this morning’s data.
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