Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-10-22 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -12.1% to +24.9% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries Reported 28 October after the close: EPS $4.89 vs $4.71, revenue $92.3B vs ~$90.6B — a beat on both lines; Azure +48%. Window from Wednesday’s close of 531.01: paid ≥ 546.94, sold < 515.08, scored Monday 2 November: sold, −4.5%. into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | 2026-10-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 26 | 2026-07-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 26 | 2026-01-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 25 | 2025-01-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 24 | 2024-07-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 24 | 2024-04-25 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full MSFT print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-22
Quick answers
How often does Microsoft Corporation beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 11 covered prints (as of the 2026-10-22 card), Microsoft Corporation beat EPS estimates 11 of 11 times and revenue estimates 11 of 11 times, with 11 double beats.
How does MSFT stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 3 of the last 11 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 2 flat, 6 down (as of the 2026-10-22 card) — reactions spanning -12.1% to +24.9%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was MSFT's biggest earnings reaction?
+24.9% over the three sessions after the Jul 26 print (2026-07-29).
When does Microsoft Corporation report earnings next?
2026-10-28 (Reported 28 October after the close: EPS $4.89 vs $4.71, revenue $92.3B vs ~$90.6B — a beat on both lines; Azure +48%. Window from Wednesday’s close of 531.01: paid ≥ 546.94, sold < 515.08, scored Monday 2 November: sold, −4.5%.). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where MSFT appears in the diary — 58 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- The Agentic Winners 25
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- NVIDIA 2030
The historical analogy chain — Microsoft (Windows monopoly) → Apple (consumer computing platform) → AWS (global cloud utility) → NVIDIA (global intelligence utility) — frames the scale of what is happening.
- Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse Map
Palantir (PLTR) · ServiceNow (NOW) · SAP (partial — ERP data locked in) Productivity & Collaboration Adapt or die — copilots vs replacement Microsoft owns the distribution channel: 365 + Copilot captures the vast majority of enterprise…
- AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves Out
Microsoft’s chief executive welcomed deliberate pacing.
- Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has Closed
- Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the Shelf
The Magnificent Seven fund was +2.66% on the week against the flat index, Microsoft led the board at +6.3%, and six of the seven were green.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
Three rhythmic series run alongside the dated events: Hyperscaler earnings (MSFT / GOOGL / META / AMZN, quarterly) — capex disclosures set NVIDIA's tape.
- The SaaS Litmus Test: Is The March Bottom Real?
101 and glossary
- Agentic AI Adoption Curve: Where We Are and What Comes Next
The 'Cannibalize or Die' companies that pivoted early (Microsoft Copilot, Salesforce Agentforce) start showing agent-platform revenue.
- The CapEx Cliff Question: When Does AI Infrastructure Spending Peak?
Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta) are spending over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure.
Dailies
- Inflation — Prices Rise 0.4%, the 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Nvidia Slides Another 6%
Amazon gains 0.7%, Microsoft loses 0.3%, Alphabet 0.4% and Apple 0.8%.
- AI Build-Out — Chip Stocks Sink 8%, Nasdaq Drops 4% and the Fear Gauge Jumps 43%
A call for a pause on advanced AI, a Texas governor-elect who wants a data-center moratorium and a Microsoft spending gap tied to a Texas site all hit the companies that build AI.
- Midterms — Dow Jumps 2.3% and Apple Hits a Record; Data-Center Power Stocks Sink Up to 15%
Apple rises 5.8% to a record, Microsoft 6.0% and Amazon 5.8%.
- Oil — Brent −6.5% on Iran Talks Lifts Stocks; Amazon +5%, Oracle −6% on a $20 Billion Raise
Today's close grades Lilly, Alphabet, ServiceNow and Microsoft; Apple and Palantir report after the bell.
- Sell-Off — Nasdaq −3%, Chips −8%, Bitcoin −4%, Gold −3%; Only Bonds, Oil and Defensives Hold
The windows — Amazon recovers, Twilio −17%, Microsoft near its sold line
- Fed — rates on hold, two officials wanted a hike; Vertiv +15%, Flex +9%, Micron +4%
Microsoft, Alphabet and ServiceNow report after the close, so tonight's close is the price their reports will be measured from.
- Hyperscalers — Cash Flow Is the Rear-View Mirror
Microsoft and Alphabet report Wednesday, hours after the Fed.
- AI Trade — builders and runners sold, users bought: chips enter a bear market, Accenture +9.9% on the week
Snowflake fell 8.4% to 306.84, Palo Alto Networks 7.6% to 342.00, Palantir 7.2% to 186.03, ServiceNow 4.4%, Salesforce 2.5% and Microsoft 1.9% to 529.05.
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