Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — Technical state
As of 2026-09-11 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelook diary readings, not advice.
Its stochastic crossed down from overbought (%K 69.1 under %D 76.6) 2 sessions ago — momentum is cooling.
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+2.7%
- vs 50-day+3.4%
- vs 200-day+15.4%
- 52-week band9.6% off the high · +95.1% off the low
- Streak1 consecutive up session
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 5 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 69.1 · %D 76.6 · down cross
Analyst consensus (context)
Target 578 (+33.5% vs the baked price) · Buy · 18 buy / 7 hold / 0 sell. Third-party consensus, shown for context — not a Closelook view.
Continue: the TSM chart & overview · quality & forensics · the earnings record · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-11
Quick answers
What is the current Closelook signal on TSM?
Stochastic turned down — Its stochastic crossed down from overbought (%K 69.1 under %D 76.6) 2 sessions ago — momentum is cooling. As of 2026-09-11; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is TSM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-09-11, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing trades +3.4% above its 50-day and +15.4% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +2.7% away.
How far is TSM from its 52-week high?
9.6% below the 52-week high and 95.1% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-09-11.
What is the analyst consensus on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing?
Consensus target 578 (+33.5% vs the baked price), rating Buy, with 18 buy / 7 hold / 0 sell recommendations — third-party consensus data, shown for context, not a Closelook view.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where TSM appears in the diary — 19 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint Chain
- Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?
- AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves Out
- This company makes every AI chip that matters and 73% of the world’s outsourced chips — sales are up 53% in a month, and the stock is coiled in a triangle whose apex is this week
- TSMC — The Toll at the Only Bridge
- AI Bull Market — The 2026 Verification Phase
- Nvidia Ecosystem — Wave 1: The ‘Stacking’ Peak
101 and glossary
Dailies
- AI trade — the pacing call splits tech: chips −5%, software +4.5%, security +12–15%, 10-year hits 5%
- Brent closes above $100 for the first time since July and the 10-year hits 4.86%: Wall Street falls a third day while Cloudflare +10%, Datadog +7% and Meta +7% catch the money the chip leaders gave back
- The trade flips at midday: chips fade, software bounces — Meta +6%, Cloudflare +9%, Datadog +6% while oil holds $101 and the 10-year hits 4.85%
- The AI Order Book, Read From Taiwan
- TSMC prints +45%, the rotation pays the whole chain — and the bond coil leaks into the referee
- Everyone is watching the software wreck. The line that matters is breaking in bonds.
- TSMC Printed the Cycle's Best Quarter — the Tape Has Been Selling Records All Week
- One Core, Three Countries: The Global ETF Book Rebuilt
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