Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — Technical state

As of 2026-11-09 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelooknet diary readings, not advice.

The Closelooknet read

Closelooknet score: 68 out of 100 (momentum 52 · quality 88 · valuation 71), as of 2026-11-11.
Signal: Widest analyst gap — 20.3% off its high — yet the $586 consensus implies +50.7%. (as of 2026-11-09)
Trend: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing trades 9.8% below its 50-day and 3.2% below its 200-day moving average. (as of 2026-11-09)
Index seat: Rubin Build-Out 100

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing builds integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices to order for the companies that design them, rather than selling chips under its own brand. It runs wafer fabrication across several process types, plus packaging, testing and mask-making, and its output ends up in high-performance computing, smartphones, connected devices, cars and consumer electronics.

The full read — the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot — is on the TSM overview. Agents can buy the score depth per call over HTTP 402 — see the catalogue. Research diary readings, not advice.

Widest analyst gap

20.3% off its high — yet the $586 consensus implies +50.7%.

The moving-average stack

vs 20-day-6.1%
vs 50-day-9.8%
vs 200-day-3.2%
52-week band20.3% off the high · +46.4% off the low
Streak2 consecutive up sessions
Stochastic%K 23.6 · %D 14.9 · up cross

Analyst consensus (context)

Target 586 (+50.7% vs the baked price) · Buy · 18 buy / 7 hold / 0 sell. Third-party consensus, shown for context — not a Closelooknet view.

Continue: the TSM chart & overview · quality & forensics · the earnings record · the signal board

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-09

Quick answers

What is the current Closelooknet signal on TSM?

Widest analyst gap — 20.3% off its high — yet the $586 consensus implies +50.7%. As of 2026-11-09; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.

Is TSM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

As of 2026-11-09, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing trades -9.8% below its 50-day and -3.2% below its 200-day average, with the 20-day -6.1% away.

How far is TSM from its 52-week high?

20.3% below the 52-week high and 46.4% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-11-09.

What is the analyst consensus on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing?

Consensus target 586 (+50.7% vs the baked price), rating Buy, with 18 buy / 7 hold / 0 sell recommendations, as of 2026-11-09 — third-party consensus data, shown for context, not a Closelooknet view.

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where TSM appears in the diary — 51 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint ChainDossier · $29 · 3 Mar 202617× Trail P/E 15× Fwd P/E +47% Rev Growth TSMC TSM · $374 Constructive Constraint: 92% leading-edge, 75% advanced packaging 28× trailing (vs.
Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?Dossier · $39 · 12 Feb 2026
AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026
This company makes every AI chip that matters and 73% of the world’s outsourced chips — sales are up 53% in a month, and the stock is coiled in a triangle whose apex is this weekChart Pick · 11 Sept 2026
TSMC — The Toll at the Only BridgeReport · 13 Aug 2026How we hold it TSM is a constituent of the Rubin Build-Out 100 ; the print record carries its reaction history, and the stock page the live structure.
AI Bull Market — The 2026 Verification PhaseReport · 20 Mar 2026January 15 TSMC (TSM) — The Hub Utilization rates for 3nm/2nm chips.
Nvidia Ecosystem — Wave 1: The ‘Stacking’ PeakReport · 20 Feb 2026TSMC TSM 0.98 Correlation Tier I Classification Linear · 2026–2030 Role Monopoly Manufacturer Why Every Rubin (3nm) and Feynman (2nm) chip is a TSMC wafer.

101 and glossary

NVIDIA Investor's Timeline: Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin and Beyond101The investment question is not "is NVIDIA a good company?" — it's "is NVIDIA's stock a good risk-adjusted investment at this price?" Key Companies NVDA NVIDIA Architecture owner — Hopper/Blackwell/Rubin TSM TSMC Fabrication + CoWoS…
The Packaging Bottleneck: Advanced Packaging as the AI Chokepoint101Key Companies TSM TSMC CoWoS monopoly — packaging capacity owner BESI BE Semiconductor Hybrid bonding equipment leader ASX ASE Technology Largest OSAT provider IBDN Ibiden Advanced packaging substrates

Dailies

Inflation — Prices Rise 0.4%, the 10-Year Yield Hits 5% and Nvidia Slides Another 6%Midday 10 · 10 Nov 2026
Chips — Up 6% Without Nvidia: AMD Jumps 11%, Broadcom 8%, Nvidia Slides 6%Midday 10 · 9 Nov 2026
AI Builders — Chips Bounce 4%, AMD Jumps 10% and IREN 20% After a Strong Jobs ReportMidday 10 · 6 Nov 2026
AI Build-Out — Chip Stocks Sink 8%, Nasdaq Drops 4% and the Fear Gauge Jumps 43%Midday 10 · 5 Nov 2026
Big Tech Earnings — Seoul buys back the chip sell-off as Tesla, Meta, IBM, SAP and Lam Research report tonightMorning 10 · 21 Oct 2026
Tech — the tape buys the reporters: Nasdaq-100 +1.1%, Meta +2.4%, Tesla +3.6% hours before their printsMidday 10 · 21 Oct 2026
Chips — one day of bounce, then Asia sells it: Kospi −4.3%, SK Hynix −5.3%, Nasdaq futures lowerMorning 10 · 20 Oct 2026
Chips — the open follows Seoul, then turns: chip index from −2.4% to +0.7%; small caps +1.6%Midday 10 · 20 Oct 2026

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Semiconductors. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.