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Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for COF, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta 0.43 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How COF has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.43 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Capital One Financial Corporation moved 0.43% on average · correlation 0.13 · higher than 43% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.87 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.99% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.26% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Credit Services · United States · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Credit Services · United States

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against COF on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Capital One Financial Corporation

COF in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Capital One is a bank holding company that runs three lines: credit cards, consumer banking such as branches and auto loans, and commercial banking for businesses and property. It takes deposits, extends card and personal loans, funds vehicle purchases and offers treasury and advisory services to commercial clients. It operates mainly in the United States, with some business in Canada and the United Kingdom, and is based in McLean, Virginia.
Where it sits in the stack
Capital One sits outside our AI build-out index; it belongs to the financial-services sleeve of our universe, within credit services, where card issuers and consumer lenders are grouped rather than chip or infrastructure names.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet has not set a peer group for this name; the comparison the market draws is with other large card issuers such as Discover Financial Services, and with universal banks such as JPMorgan Chase that also run sizeable card books.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no seat in our AI index and no Closelooknet score yet; the diary has not quoted it and records no mentions so far.
What the diary watches
Whether card loan growth and consumer credit quality hold up, since that mix drives most of the group's earnings.

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: COF news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Wolfe Research, 2026-08-25

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for COF from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Wolfe Research — target 275 from 255 Target raised to $275 from $255 (+27.2% to spot) 2026-08-25
  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 245 from 250 Target cut to $245 from $250 (+13.8% to spot) 2026-08-20

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.60%, quarterly · last 0.80 USD on 2026-08-17

Dividends and capital return

What COF pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 3.20 USD per share · a 1.60% yield on the 2026-09-25 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-09-25
  • Change on the year +33.3% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 2.40 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.80 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-17
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.60 USD (partial) · 2024: 2.40 USD · 2025: 2.60 USD · 2026: 2.40 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-10

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)?

Capital One Financial Corporation trades as COF on the US exchange (United States) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is COF in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Capital One Financial Corporation is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

Where does COF trade against its moving averages?

Mixed moving-average stack: Trades -5.5% vs the 50-day and -2.8% vs the 200-day average, 22.3% below the 52-week high and +14.9% off the 52-week low; a golden cross printed 26 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Capital One Financial Corporation trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Capital One Financial Corporation had a beta of 0.43 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 43% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.99% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Capital One Financial Corporation do?

Capital One is a bank holding company that runs three lines: credit cards, consumer banking such as branches and auto loans, and commercial banking for businesses and property. It takes deposits, extends card and personal loans, funds vehicle purchases and offers treasury and advisory services to commercial clients. It operates mainly in the United States, with some business in Canada and the United Kingdom, and is based in McLean, Virginia. Closelooknet has not set a peer group for this name; the comparison the market draws is with other large card issuers such as Discover Financial Services, and with universal banks such as JPMorgan Chase that also run sizeable card books.

Where does Capital One Financial Corporation sit in the AI build-out?

Capital One sits outside our AI build-out index; it belongs to the financial-services sleeve of our universe, within credit services, where card issuers and consumer lenders are grouped rather than chip or infrastructure names. It holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no seat in our AI index and no Closelooknet score yet; the diary has not quoted it and records no mentions so far.

Does Capital One Financial Corporation pay a dividend?

Capital One Financial Corporation has paid 3.20 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 1.60% on the 2026-09-25 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.80 USD on 2026-08-17. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Capital One Financial Corporation recently?

The most recent analyst action on Capital One Financial Corporation on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Wolfe Research on 2026-08-25 (target 275 from 255). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for COF, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Credit Services, then Financial Services. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.