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PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on PYPL

What this diary said about PayPal Holdings Inc, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for PYPL, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 2 pieces · newest: Morning 10, “Nasdaq - a second record close as memory jumps 5-7% and banks, card networks and software are sold” (2026-09-23)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where PYPL appears in the diary — 2 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

  • Bitcoin — New Life for the Coins and the StocksWeekly Signal · 20 Sept 2026Third, the payment incumbents that the stablecoin rails are supposed to disrupt fell 1.9% in the same week, for a 6.8-point spread against the rails in five sessions — Block, PayPal and SoFi all red, Visa and Mastercard flat.

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta 0.45 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How PYPL has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.45 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), PayPal Holdings Inc moved 0.45% on average · correlation 0.10 · higher than 46% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.72 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.50% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.17% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Credit Services · US · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Credit Services · US

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against PYPL on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — PayPal Holdings Inc

PYPL in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
PayPal operates a payments platform that lets merchants and consumers send, receive and store money online and in person. It links funding sources such as bank accounts, cards and account balances into one network, and offers separate brands including Venmo, Braintree, Xoom and Honeys reward tools. It is headquartered in San Jose, California, and sits in the credit-services corner of financial services.
Where it sits in the stack
PayPal carries no seat in our Rubin or Halo indices, so it sits outside the diary's AI build-out stack. It belongs instead to the payments and financial-services sleeve of our wider universe, tracked as a technology-platform business rather than an infrastructure supplier to the build-out.
Who it is priced against
The diary has not set a peer group for PayPal; the comparison the market draws most often is with Block, whose Square and Cash App products cover similar merchant and consumer payment rails.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
PayPal holds a seat in the Nasdaq-100 but carries no Closelooknet score yet, and it has not appeared in any diary edition or quote so far.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether PayPal's newer brands, such as Venmo and Braintree, keep widening its two-sided network beyond its original checkout business.

PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 9 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Deutsche Bank, 2026-09-25

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for PYPL from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 55 from 50 Target raised to $55 from $50 (+3.4% to spot) 2026-09-25
  • Downgrade UBS — Neutral → Sell Downgraded to Sell from Neutral 2026-09-11
  • Downgrade Citigroup — Market Perform → Neutral Downgraded to Neutral from Market Perform 2026-09-11

9 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 downgrades, 1 initiation, 5 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.02%, quarterly · last 0.14 USD on 2026-09-04

Dividends and capital return

What PYPL pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.56 USD per share · a 1.02% yield on the 2026-09-25 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-09-25
  • Last distribution 0.14 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-04
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.14 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.42 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-11-19

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)?

PayPal Holdings Inc trades as PYPL on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is PYPL in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — PayPal Holdings Inc is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

Where does PYPL trade against its moving averages?

Pullback inside an uptrend stack: Trades -3% vs the 50-day and +9.2% vs the 200-day average, 30.1% below the 52-week high and +43.5% off the 52-week low; a golden cross printed 26 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does PayPal Holdings Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year PayPal Holdings Inc had a beta of 0.45 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 46% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.50% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about PayPal Holdings Inc?

PayPal Holdings Inc appears in 2 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Morning 10: Nasdaq - a second record close as memory jumps 5-7% and banks, card networks and software are sold (2026-09-23); Weekly Signal: Bitcoin — New Life for the Coins and the Stocks (2026-09-20). What Closelooknet said most recently: Third, the payment incumbents that the stablecoin rails are supposed to disrupt fell 1.9% in the same week, for a 6.8-point spread against the rails in five sessions — Block, PayPal and SoFi all red, Visa and Mastercard flat. (Weekly Signal, 2026-09-20). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does PayPal Holdings Inc do?

PayPal operates a payments platform that lets merchants and consumers send, receive and store money online and in person. It links funding sources such as bank accounts, cards and account balances into one network, and offers separate brands including Venmo, Braintree, Xoom and Honeys reward tools. It is headquartered in San Jose, California, and sits in the credit-services corner of financial services. The diary has not set a peer group for PayPal; the comparison the market draws most often is with Block, whose Square and Cash App products cover similar merchant and consumer payment rails.

Where does PayPal Holdings Inc sit in the AI build-out?

PayPal carries no seat in our Rubin or Halo indices, so it sits outside the diary's AI build-out stack. It belongs instead to the payments and financial-services sleeve of our wider universe, tracked as a technology-platform business rather than an infrastructure supplier to the build-out. PayPal holds a seat in the Nasdaq-100 but carries no Closelooknet score yet, and it has not appeared in any diary edition or quote so far.

Does PayPal Holdings Inc pay a dividend?

PayPal Holdings Inc has paid 0.56 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 1.02% on the 2026-09-25 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.14 USD on 2026-09-04. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on PayPal Holdings Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on PayPal Holdings Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Deutsche Bank on 2026-09-25 (target 55 from 50). 9 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 downgrades, 1 initiation, 5 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for PYPL, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Credit Services, then Financial Services. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.