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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-11-10 ·holdings as of 2026-11-10

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d +1.54pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d +7.47pp sector return − QQQ
Broad decline - breadth is falling with price. Last 21 sessions — price -2.08% · A/D -57 (-1.5/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week +1.34% -0.5 +5pp +3.12pp Weakening
1 month -2.08% -1.5 +11pp +3.67pp Confirming ↓
1 quarter +1.04% -2.92 -1pp +1.12pp Weakening

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +19.26%, breadth down (-1.61/name) · % beating 58→54 · median−ETF +2.31pp→+1.48pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-11-10.

5-day 36.84% 14/38 above
20-day 44.74% 17/38 above
50-day 50% 19/38 above
100-day 63.16% 24/38 above
150-day 63.16% 24/38 above
200-day 63.16% 24/38 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 6 (16%) 14 (37%) -8
1-Month 5 (13%) 8 (21%) -3
3-Month 4 (11%) 5 (13%) -1
6-Month 3 (8%) 2 (5%) +1
52-Week 2 (6%) 1 (3%) +1
YTD 2 (5%) 1 (3%) +1

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -0.87% -0.90% -0.02pp 8 / 30 19 / 19 18 of 38 ±2.21%
5d +1.34% +1.03% -0.31pp 23 / 15 17 / 21 9 of 38 ±13.22%
21d -2.08% -0.43% +1.65pp 18 / 20 22 / 16 1 of 38 ±18.16%
YTD -7.05% -8.64% -1.58pp 13 / 25 17 / 21 0 of 38 ±31.49%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • 0268.HK+4.60%+0.11pp
  • 4180.T+4.34%+0.11pp
  • DUOL+1.57%+0.04pp
  • AMZN+1.48%+0.04pp
  • 3994.T+1.31%+0.03pp
  • NVDA-5.47%-0.14pp
  • TEM-4.62%-0.12pp
  • MNDY-4.44%-0.11pp
  • HUBS-4.34%-0.11pp
  • TEAM-4.07%-0.1pp

This month (21d)

  • APP+46.01%+1.15pp
  • 4478.T+34.56%+0.86pp
  • 3994.T+25.86%+0.65pp
  • 0268.HK+21.95%+0.55pp
  • TEM+18.46%+0.46pp
  • RDDT-38.30%-0.96pp
  • NOW-29.01%-0.73pp
  • TEAM-28.47%-0.71pp
  • NVDA-25.38%-0.63pp
  • MELI-21.25%-0.53pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • APP+46.01%
  • 4478.T+34.56%
  • 3994.T+25.86%
  • 0268.HK+21.95%
  • TEM+18.46%
  • RDDT-38.30%
  • NOW-29.01%
  • TEAM-28.47%
  • NVDA-25.38%
  • MELI-21.25%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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0%

Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 533.16 -2.20% +2.34% -1.48% +10.50% 42
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 270.87 +1.48% +8.05% +4.37% +17.35% 66
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 287.38 -0.27% +2.62% -18.52% -8.12% 18
META Meta 2.50% 641.39 +0.00% +3.28% -13.67% -2.75% 26
AAPL Apple 2.50% 348.51 -0.62% +5.00% +2.21% +28.31% 58
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 168.89 -5.47% -18.29% -25.38% -9.33% 8
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 168.82 -0.22% -3.75% -19.22% -5.02% 16
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 99.61 -3.07% -8.75% -29.01% -34.98% 3
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 213.48 -0.68% -3.92% -8.74% -19.21% 37
WDAY Workday 2.50% 188.89 -0.69% -4.57% +0.34% -12.05% 53
SAP SAP 2.50% 233.74 -1.55% +1.49% +7.29% -3.78% 71
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 117.98 -1.51% -6.51% -14.13% -39.10% 24
PATH UiPath 2.50% 12.83 -1.16% -2.28% -3.68% -21.72% 39
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 236.70 -0.26% -3.84% -0.60% -32.37% 45
INTU Intuit 2.50% 340.44 +0.65% -1.24% +11.26% -48.35% 76
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 305.55 -0.28% +0.77% +3.28% +36.88% 61
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 30.33 -2.91% -3.16% +3.83% -54.89% 63
IOT Samsara 2.50% 41.45 -1.85% +0.83% -0.41% +16.93% 50
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 80.54 -4.62% +3.52% +18.46% +36.39% 87
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 196.99 -4.34% -12.90% -11.81% -50.91% 29
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 148.60 -4.07% -22.22% -28.47% -8.35% 5
PTC PTC 2.50% 196.55 +0.35% +1.28% +1.11% +12.82% 55
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 28.24 -2.39% +1.04% +14.24% +2.24% 79
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 152.67 -0.46% +1.67% -0.45% +11.34% 47
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 9.56 +4.60% +15.61% +21.95% -28.10% 89
4478.T freee 2.50% 4750.00 -0.52% +2.26% +34.56% +58.07% 95
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 7938.00 +1.31% +13.40% +25.86% +70.05% 92
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1513.00 +4.34% +7.00% +14.27% +40.88% 82
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 76.38 -4.44% -18.39% -9.89% -48.24% 34
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 146.61 -3.58% +2.83% -18.20% -8.92% 21
APP AppLovin 2.50% 395.51 -3.53% +61.10% +46.01% -41.30% 97
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 98.67 -2.10% +2.62% -38.30% -57.08% 0
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 156.67 +1.57% +22.40% +6.04% -10.73% 68
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 606.22 -0.47% +1.02% +14.64% +4.39% 84
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 63.26 -1.08% -0.25% -10.41% -32.53% 32
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1490.24 -2.77% -10.34% -21.25% -26.02% 11
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 76.80 -1.49% +0.04% -19.90% -39.80% 13
TOST Toast 2.50% 34.52 -0.72% +2.95% +10.22% -2.79% 74

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-11-10: over 21 sessions the fund returned -2.08% while its median constituent returned -0.43% — a dispersion of 18.16 pp; 58% of 38 members beat the fund. Broad decline - breadth is falling with price.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-11-10: fund -0.87%, median member -0.90%, 8 advancers vs 30 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelooknet lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.