Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-09-14 ·holdings as of 2026-09-14

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d +6.24pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d +7.18pp sector return − QQQ
Weakening below the surface - the A/D line is falling while price holds up; leadership is narrowing. Last 21 sessions — price +4.05% · A/D -9 (-0.24/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week -0.32% +0.16 -33pp -22.14pp Improving
1 month +4.05% -0.24 -3pp -0.61pp Weakening
1 quarter +29.45% +3.63 -3pp -2.04pp Confirming ↑

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +25.75%, breadth up (+2.26/name) · % beating 53→42 · median−ETF +1.08pp→-2.44pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-09-14.

5-day 81.58% 31/38 above
20-day 52.63% 20/38 above
50-day 76.32% 29/38 above
100-day 76.32% 29/38 above
150-day 81.58% 31/38 above
200-day 72.97% 27/37 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 29 (76%) 3 (8%) +26
1-Month 6 (16%) 1 (3%) +5
3-Month 2 (5%) 0 (0%) +2
6-Month 2 (5%) 0 (0%) +2
52-Week 0 (0%) 0 (0%) +0
YTD 2 (5%) 0 (0%) +2

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d +4.04% +3.87% -0.18pp 33 / 5 18 / 20 10 of 38 ±3.52%
5d -0.32% +0.90% +1.22pp 21 / 17 21 / 17 4 of 38 ±4.32%
21d +4.05% +1.92% -2.13pp 22 / 16 15 / 23 5 of 38 ±10.69%
YTD -4.63% -6.66% -2.03pp 14 / 24 17 / 21 1 of 38 ±23.75%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • IOT+11.80%+0.3pp
  • HUBS+11.22%+0.28pp
  • MNDY+10.67%+0.27pp
  • NOW+7.41%+0.19pp
  • TEAM+7.27%+0.18pp
  • ORCL-3.65%-0.09pp
  • NVDA-3.36%-0.08pp
  • AMZN-1.26%-0.03pp
  • SIEGY-1.10%-0.03pp
  • 0268.HK-0.66%-0.02pp

This month (21d)

  • 4180.T+33.83%+0.85pp
  • CRM+28.83%+0.72pp
  • 4478.T+18.24%+0.46pp
  • TEAM+16.14%+0.4pp
  • TEM+14.59%+0.36pp
  • SHOP-15.54%-0.39pp
  • PATH-12.11%-0.3pp
  • SE-11.87%-0.3pp
  • PTC-11.20%-0.28pp
  • SIEGY-7.52%-0.19pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • 4180.T+33.83%
  • CRM+28.83%
  • 4478.T+18.24%
  • TEAM+16.14%
  • TEM+14.59%
  • SHOP-15.54%
  • PATH-12.11%
  • SE-11.87%
  • PTC-11.20%
  • SIEGY-7.52%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 505.41 +1.97% +1.14% +1.91% +4.74% 47
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 253.54 -1.26% -1.92% -4.37% +9.84% 29
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 349.39 +3.22% +3.23% +0.87% +11.70% 45
META Meta 2.50% 665.60 +2.71% +7.92% +11.87% +0.92% 84
AAPL Apple 2.50% 333.08 +0.24% +4.10% +9.11% +22.63% 76
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 210.96 -3.36% -8.32% -6.36% +13.25% 16
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 173.31 +3.64% -0.59% -3.18% -2.50% 34
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 142.35 +7.41% +0.77% +11.87% -7.08% 82
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 259.43 +4.73% +0.08% +28.83% -1.82% 95
WDAY Workday 2.50% 194.21 +4.58% -0.81% -5.93% -9.58% 18
SAP SAP 2.50% 218.28 +5.78% +1.47% +4.30% -10.14% 63
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 144.79 -3.65% -8.81% -7.32% -25.26% 13
PATH UiPath 2.50% 14.66 +6.62% -3.49% -12.11% -10.56% 3
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 265.60 +5.30% -0.34% -1.81% -24.11% 37
INTU Intuit 2.50% 339.15 +5.47% +1.94% -5.34% -48.55% 24
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 265.67 +1.25% -3.42% +5.16% +19.01% 71
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 31.52 +3.48% +1.97% -4.63% -53.12% 26
IOT Samsara 2.50% 42.91 +11.80% +6.74% +4.30% +21.04% 66
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 62.21 +5.42% -3.73% +14.59% +5.35% 87
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 250.61 +11.22% +1.22% +4.20% -37.55% 61
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 192.77 +7.27% +1.68% +16.14% +18.89% 89
PTC PTC 2.50% 136.65 +4.49% -3.10% -11.20% -21.56% 8
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 24.60 +5.08% +1.03% +0.37% -10.94% 42
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 151.68 -1.10% -4.08% -7.52% +10.62% 11
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 7.52 -0.66% -10.21% -4.20% -43.42% 32
4478.T freee 2.50% 3955.00 +2.73% +3.53% +18.24% +31.61% 92
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 6365.00 +7.14% +2.31% -1.76% +36.35% 39
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1515.00 +6.69% +4.34% +33.83% +41.06% 97
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 96.11 +10.67% +5.53% +1.92% -34.87% 50
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 133.89 +3.96% -7.72% -15.54% -16.82% 0
APP AppLovin 2.50% 334.24 +3.17% +4.27% +6.90% -50.40% 74
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 162.38 +2.92% +5.13% +2.69% -29.36% 55
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 151.14 +5.19% -2.15% +4.89% -13.88% 68
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 556.31 +5.81% +2.56% +11.66% -4.20% 79
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 80.32 +3.77% +2.65% +2.66% -14.33% 53
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1900.24 +0.15% -3.95% +3.94% -5.66% 58
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 108.68 +2.30% -3.04% -11.87% -14.81% 5
TOST Toast 2.50% 33.29 +3.64% -1.94% -5.48% -6.25% 21

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-09-14: over 21 sessions the fund returned +4.05% while its median constituent returned +1.92% — a dispersion of 10.69 pp; 39% of 38 members beat the fund. Weakening below the surface - the A/D line is falling while price holds up; leadership is narrowing.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-09-14: fund +4.04%, median member +3.87%, 33 advancers vs 5 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelook lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.