Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-07-28 ·holdings as of 2026-07-28

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d +9.05pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d +15.07pp sector return − QQQ
Broad advance - breadth is rising with price. Last 21 sessions — price +10.68% · A/D +77 (+2.03/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week +3.80% +0.29 -4pp +1.49pp Confirming ↑
1 month +10.68% +2.03 +4pp +2.90pp Confirming ↑
1 quarter +5.65% -0.29 +9pp +4.72pp Weakening

Over the last 126 sessions: price down -3.62%, breadth down (-0.21/name) · % beating 45→54 · median−ETF -2.67pp→+3.39pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-07-28.

5-day 84.21% 32/38 above
20-day 71.05% 27/38 above
50-day 68.42% 26/38 above
100-day 63.16% 24/38 above
150-day 50% 19/38 above
200-day 19.44% 7/36 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 26 (68%) 2 (5%) +24
1-Month 17 (45%) 1 (3%) +16
3-Month 8 (21%) 0 (0%) +8
6-Month 1 (3%) 0 (0%) +1
52-Week 1 (3%) 0 (0%) +1
YTD 1 (3%) 0 (0%) +1

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d +2.20% +2.86% +0.66pp 30 / 8 22 / 16 10 of 38 ±2.86%
5d +3.80% +3.86% +0.06pp 27 / 11 19 / 19 4 of 38 ±7.32%
21d +10.68% +15.07% +4.39pp 32 / 6 24 / 14 4 of 38 ±13.9%
YTD -18.59% -21.09% -2.50pp 7 / 31 17 / 21 2 of 38 ±19.04%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • HUBS+8.84%+0.22pp
  • WDAY+8.24%+0.21pp
  • IOT+6.11%+0.15pp
  • MNDY+6.08%+0.15pp
  • DUOL+5.96%+0.15pp
  • PLTR-6.08%-0.15pp
  • SIEGY-0.81%-0.02pp
  • 3994.T-0.61%-0.02pp
  • RDDT-0.44%-0.01pp
  • 4180.T-0.33%-0.01pp

This month (21d)

  • 3994.T+41.06%+1.03pp
  • 4478.T+36.62%+0.92pp
  • HUBS+30.97%+0.77pp
  • 0268.HK+30.11%+0.75pp
  • WDAY+28.56%+0.71pp
  • TEM-23.58%-0.59pp
  • ORCL-19.24%-0.48pp
  • APP-12.34%-0.31pp
  • NFLX-1.92%-0.05pp
  • GOOGL-1.09%-0.03pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • 3994.T+41.06%
  • 4478.T+36.62%
  • HUBS+30.97%
  • 0268.HK+30.11%
  • WDAY+28.56%
  • TEM-23.58%
  • ORCL-19.24%
  • APP-12.34%
  • NFLX-1.92%
  • GOOGL-1.09%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

0%

Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 393.35 +1.09% -1.11% +5.46% -18.48% 24
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 230.86 -0.23% -6.74% -0.79% +0.02% 13
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 333.71 +2.19% -3.87% -1.09% +6.69% 11
META Meta 2.50% 593.41 -0.08% -7.83% +7.84% -10.02% 29
AAPL Apple 2.50% 340.08 +0.94% +3.77% +19.84% +25.21% 74
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 197.01 +0.25% -4.96% +2.33% +5.76% 21
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 123.53 -6.08% -6.88% +9.39% -30.50% 32
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 110.62 +4.79% +8.39% +12.49% -27.79% 45
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 181.50 +4.55% +6.73% +14.61% -31.31% 47
WDAY Workday 2.50% 159.69 +8.24% +13.12% +28.56% -25.65% 87
SAP SAP 2.50% 179.17 +4.77% +16.09% +15.53% -26.24% 50
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 119.96 +0.05% -5.58% -19.24% -38.08% 3
PATH UiPath 2.50% 12.19 +4.91% +1.25% +15.76% -25.63% 53
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 249.18 +4.81% +9.69% +22.91% -28.80% 79
INTU Intuit 2.50% 312.99 +2.99% +7.96% +16.91% -52.52% 58
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 201.20 +3.47% +6.32% +17.41% -9.87% 61
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 30.33 +3.98% +6.42% +0.26% -54.89% 16
IOT Samsara 2.50% 37.50 +6.11% +3.96% +20.42% +5.78% 76
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 42.90 -0.02% -12.41% -23.58% -27.35% 0
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 223.01 +8.84% -3.55% +30.97% -44.43% 92
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 99.98 +4.29% +10.35% +26.97% -38.34% 84
PTC PTC 2.50% 127.51 +1.84% +5.58% +10.19% -26.81% 34
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 23.92 +3.10% +17.07% +17.83% -13.40% 66
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 154.89 -0.81% +0.04% +1.56% +12.96% 18
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 7.39 +2.92% +1.51% +30.11% -44.39% 89
4478.T freee 2.50% 2563.00 +0.51% +4.61% +36.62% -14.71% 95
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 5665.00 -0.61% +7.80% +41.06% +21.36% 97
4180.T Appier 2.50% 910.00 -0.33% +0.22% +26.39% -15.27% 82
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 87.09 +6.08% +19.56% +19.27% -40.98% 68
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 130.28 +2.68% +5.89% +11.48% -19.07% 42
APP AppLovin 2.50% 418.22 +1.33% -2.44% -12.34% -37.93% 5
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 178.44 -0.44% -3.98% +6.89% -22.37% 26
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 140.73 +5.96% +12.85% +15.84% -19.81% 55
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 511.56 +3.40% +3.72% +11.20% -11.91% 39
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 72.39 +2.83% +5.42% -1.92% -22.79% 8
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1862.52 +2.35% +2.19% +11.19% -7.53% 37
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 107.41 +2.89% +1.08% +17.61% -15.80% 63
TOST Toast 2.50% 32.34 +4.86% +6.49% +19.42% -8.93% 71

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.